WEBVTT - Subtitles by: DownloadYoutubeSubtitles.com 00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:04.799 Porinju Veliyath, founder and CEO of Equity 00:00:02.320 --> 00:00:06.319 Intelligence joining in. Porinju, always 00:00:04.799 --> 00:00:08.480 a pleasure to have you on. Thank you so 00:00:06.319 --> 00:00:11.519 much for your time to us here at NDTV 00:00:08.480 --> 00:00:14.160 Profit and on India Market open. Um, all 00:00:11.519 --> 00:00:15.839 things considered, would you say 2025 in 00:00:14.160 --> 00:00:19.039 that sense for Indian markets has been a 00:00:15.839 --> 00:00:21.359 year of survival? Everything that is 00:00:19.039 --> 00:00:24.240 possibly going to be uh disrupting the 00:00:21.359 --> 00:00:26.800 market seems to have happened right from 00:00:24.240 --> 00:00:28.400 you know the uh the tariffs and all of 00:00:26.800 --> 00:00:30.240 those fears at the start. We're ending 00:00:28.400 --> 00:00:33.120 the year also without any resolution in 00:00:30.240 --> 00:00:36.320 sight maybe. 00:00:33.120 --> 00:00:38.559 Hi, thank you and good morning all. 00:00:36.320 --> 00:00:41.280 See I think the last one year maybe a 00:00:38.559 --> 00:00:44.000 little more than that I think India the 00:00:41.280 --> 00:00:47.600 broader market has been in a bare market 00:00:44.000 --> 00:00:50.640 I would say uh which is very important 00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:52.640 and uh we are seeing almost alltime high 00:00:50.640 --> 00:00:54.800 in the nifty 00:00:52.640 --> 00:00:56.719 um perhaps this is the most hated 00:00:54.800 --> 00:00:59.359 all-time high of nifty in the history of 00:00:56.719 --> 00:01:01.039 Indian markets you know the way uh the 00:00:59.359 --> 00:01:02.559 broader market underperformed 00:01:01.039 --> 00:01:04.960 consistently 00:01:02.559 --> 00:01:07.520 and uh maybe it's it's almost you know 00:01:04.960 --> 00:01:09.840 five six quarters has been happening. 00:01:07.520 --> 00:01:13.680 So, so it was a bad year for the broader 00:01:09.840 --> 00:01:16.400 market and most of the investors um 00:01:13.680 --> 00:01:18.880 despite the nifty staying strong because 00:01:16.400 --> 00:01:20.320 of the domestic liquidity uh mutual 00:01:18.880 --> 00:01:23.360 funds and the large funds are buying 00:01:20.320 --> 00:01:25.520 into the same uh large cap companies. So 00:01:23.360 --> 00:01:28.159 nothing wrong in that but I think there 00:01:25.520 --> 00:01:30.720 was very uh significant correction 00:01:28.159 --> 00:01:34.000 happened. Uh I don't know how long it 00:01:30.720 --> 00:01:36.720 will go further. um maybe it's already 00:01:34.000 --> 00:01:40.000 over or it's near to the bottom. So that 00:01:36.720 --> 00:01:43.439 way I think there is um hope for the 00:01:40.000 --> 00:01:46.560 2026 in the coming year. Uh we are going 00:01:43.439 --> 00:01:48.399 to see a lot of values emerging in many 00:01:46.560 --> 00:01:49.920 pockets. Already they are there are 00:01:48.399 --> 00:01:55.360 values though it is ignored by the 00:01:49.920 --> 00:01:57.920 market. Uh so 2025 was uh I would say 00:01:55.360 --> 00:02:00.479 for me it was bad. Even my fund has 00:01:57.920 --> 00:02:04.560 underperformed uh significantly to be 00:02:00.479 --> 00:02:07.520 frank. uh but we are very hopeful uh the 00:02:04.560 --> 00:02:09.599 value investing has the big relevance uh 00:02:07.520 --> 00:02:12.959 you know that uh we have to stick to the 00:02:09.599 --> 00:02:15.680 long-term India optimism 00:02:12.959 --> 00:02:18.000 so that is all I can say when we talk 00:02:15.680 --> 00:02:21.920 about the next year or the years coming 00:02:18.000 --> 00:02:23.760 up so there is scope there is um so 00:02:21.920 --> 00:02:28.239 that's what the investors in equity can 00:02:23.760 --> 00:02:31.280 do and that is very relevant that uh uh 00:02:28.239 --> 00:02:32.480 you know that long-term India optimism 00:02:31.280 --> 00:02:32.959 is very rational, 00:02:32.480 --> 00:02:34.080 >> right? 00:02:32.959 --> 00:02:35.599 >> So stick to that. 00:02:34.080 --> 00:02:39.200 >> Stick stick to that. Good advice, 00:02:35.599 --> 00:02:40.879 Purenju. Uh but on your portfolio level, 00:02:39.200 --> 00:02:43.760 where are you going out and doubling 00:02:40.879 --> 00:02:45.440 down? Uh and thanks for your cander 00:02:43.760 --> 00:02:46.959 because and it's not just you. I think a 00:02:45.440 --> 00:02:48.400 lot of fund managers have faced that 00:02:46.959 --> 00:02:50.560 pressure because of the broader markets 00:02:48.400 --> 00:02:52.720 and the way they've done. Uh you can 00:02:50.560 --> 00:02:54.560 have stock specific uh selections that 00:02:52.720 --> 00:02:56.480 have gone wrong. So where are you 00:02:54.560 --> 00:02:59.200 doubling down in anticipation of a 00:02:56.480 --> 00:03:01.599 bounce back in 2026? 00:02:59.200 --> 00:03:04.319 We will continue to be in the you know 00:03:01.599 --> 00:03:06.640 large small caps and midcap segment uh 00:03:04.319 --> 00:03:10.720 in general but note that we are against 00:03:06.640 --> 00:03:13.040 any large cap companies but you know the 00:03:10.720 --> 00:03:15.760 23 years of history uh equity 00:03:13.040 --> 00:03:18.080 intelligence has been mostly into uh you 00:03:15.760 --> 00:03:21.519 know quality midto midcap stocks or some 00:03:18.080 --> 00:03:24.480 of the uh small caps and many of them 00:03:21.519 --> 00:03:26.959 have gone 20 30 40 times and some of 00:03:24.480 --> 00:03:28.959 them have become large caps. So that's 00:03:26.959 --> 00:03:31.280 where you make a lot of money. But this 00:03:28.959 --> 00:03:32.879 kind of uh what do you call uh that 00:03:31.280 --> 00:03:35.120 cyclicality 00:03:32.879 --> 00:03:39.040 you know every strategy don't work you 00:03:35.120 --> 00:03:42.400 know all the time. So so uh our strategy 00:03:39.040 --> 00:03:44.959 was has been uh consistent and we will 00:03:42.400 --> 00:03:49.200 continue with that. uh there is uh 00:03:44.959 --> 00:03:51.519 enough u uh potential to create alpha uh 00:03:49.200 --> 00:03:54.400 especially from here next one year, two 00:03:51.519 --> 00:03:59.599 years or 3 years uh by sticking to our 00:03:54.400 --> 00:04:04.159 uh our uh core philosophy and strategy. 00:03:59.599 --> 00:04:07.760 >> Penju you know how do you see the whole 00:04:04.159 --> 00:04:09.840 pace of IPOs which have continued and uh 00:04:07.760 --> 00:04:11.920 we're set for a record number in the 00:04:09.840 --> 00:04:14.480 month of December as well. Do you see 00:04:11.920 --> 00:04:16.799 the primary market dominating the mind 00:04:14.480 --> 00:04:20.199 space es especially of retail investors 00:04:16.799 --> 00:04:20.199 all through 2026? 00:04:20.239 --> 00:04:25.040 >> I think it will continue. We will see 00:04:22.240 --> 00:04:26.720 new and new supplies, new segments, you 00:04:25.040 --> 00:04:28.800 know, which is not existing in the 00:04:26.720 --> 00:04:30.960 already listed space. New innovative 00:04:28.800 --> 00:04:33.440 companies, ideas, business models are 00:04:30.960 --> 00:04:37.199 going to come. So that's that's driving 00:04:33.440 --> 00:04:38.960 Indian economy itself. And from the 00:04:37.199 --> 00:04:40.880 policy maker side, they are doing a 00:04:38.960 --> 00:04:44.320 wonderful job in this regard. you know 00:04:40.880 --> 00:04:46.960 the kind of labor reforms what we are um 00:04:44.320 --> 00:04:49.680 we recently it has come up and you know 00:04:46.960 --> 00:04:51.840 those things are very very important uh 00:04:49.680 --> 00:04:54.240 now it's a win-win for everybody even 00:04:51.840 --> 00:04:56.880 the laborers are going to benefit it's 00:04:54.240 --> 00:05:00.160 going to be good for the uh for the 00:04:56.880 --> 00:05:03.919 business the entrepreneurs and you know 00:05:00.160 --> 00:05:06.080 a lot of small medium uh SMA companies 00:05:03.919 --> 00:05:08.639 um have been suffering with these labor 00:05:06.080 --> 00:05:11.440 issues there there was a tendency in 00:05:08.639 --> 00:05:13.680 many states you know being um harassed 00:05:11.440 --> 00:05:16.000 by the labor authorities. So I think 00:05:13.680 --> 00:05:18.880 this very comprehensive labor law which 00:05:16.000 --> 00:05:20.800 was very important and you know many 00:05:18.880 --> 00:05:22.400 things happening now like the GST 00:05:20.800 --> 00:05:24.400 rationalization 00:05:22.400 --> 00:05:27.039 or you know private sector allowed for 00:05:24.400 --> 00:05:29.360 the nuclear um business which is very 00:05:27.039 --> 00:05:32.800 important. So these things are going to 00:05:29.360 --> 00:05:34.800 drive new verticles, new opportunities. 00:05:32.800 --> 00:05:36.320 Some of the existing companies, listed 00:05:34.800 --> 00:05:38.160 companies are going to do well. I don't 00:05:36.320 --> 00:05:40.320 have want to tell any name but there is 00:05:38.160 --> 00:05:43.039 no much clarity. Some of them could be 00:05:40.320 --> 00:05:46.240 in the infancy in developing the uh new 00:05:43.039 --> 00:05:48.960 models and adapting to the new policies. 00:05:46.240 --> 00:05:51.360 So opportunities are there enough. There 00:05:48.960 --> 00:05:53.600 are many pockets. So investors should be 00:05:51.360 --> 00:05:57.280 smart enough to move with the uh that 00:05:53.600 --> 00:05:59.919 kind of an uh EOS ecosystem where the 00:05:57.280 --> 00:06:02.800 opportunities are popping up. 00:05:59.919 --> 00:06:04.639 >> Uh Penju uh just trying to get and I 00:06:02.800 --> 00:06:06.560 understand that you will have a bottomup 00:06:04.639 --> 00:06:08.800 approach to picking the stocks that you 00:06:06.560 --> 00:06:12.880 have but there must be some indications 00:06:08.800 --> 00:06:14.880 based on the uh sectoral bent that you 00:06:12.880 --> 00:06:17.759 might have right so you might prefer one 00:06:14.880 --> 00:06:21.680 or the other give us a sense of what 00:06:17.759 --> 00:06:21.680 your thinking is at this moment. 00:06:21.759 --> 00:06:29.120 See we all know everybody knows that you 00:06:25.680 --> 00:06:31.919 know there is a issue of um 00:06:29.120 --> 00:06:35.199 uh you know very richly valued markets 00:06:31.919 --> 00:06:37.840 in general in India. 00:06:35.199 --> 00:06:40.560 uh we all talk about the long-term India 00:06:37.840 --> 00:06:45.199 optimism but market sometimes you know 00:06:40.560 --> 00:06:47.919 it it uh uh discounts in much advance 00:06:45.199 --> 00:06:49.520 and some stocks some managed stocks some 00:06:47.919 --> 00:06:51.680 operator-driven stocks they take 00:06:49.520 --> 00:06:54.000 advantage of that you know so we'll be 00:06:51.680 --> 00:07:00.240 always surprised how this stock can at 00:06:54.000 --> 00:07:02.240 you know 20 times sales and 300 400 P so 00:07:00.240 --> 00:07:04.960 it's basically they are betting on the 00:07:02.240 --> 00:07:07.199 future optimism investors but whatever 00:07:04.960 --> 00:07:09.360 said and done you know a lot of uh 00:07:07.199 --> 00:07:12.319 things happening in the market in the 00:07:09.360 --> 00:07:14.479 IPO was talking about the IPO itself so 00:07:12.319 --> 00:07:16.400 the domestic liquidity that is like 00:07:14.479 --> 00:07:18.560 never before 00:07:16.400 --> 00:07:20.240 I don't know N may be remembering I have 00:07:18.560 --> 00:07:21.759 been talking about this power of 00:07:20.240 --> 00:07:24.319 domestic 00:07:21.759 --> 00:07:27.039 uh fund flow the potential of fun flow 00:07:24.319 --> 00:07:28.080 into the equities uh so that has been 00:07:27.039 --> 00:07:29.840 happening now 00:07:28.080 --> 00:07:31.599 >> and this will continue 00:07:29.840 --> 00:07:34.560 >> many many more households the middle 00:07:31.599 --> 00:07:36.400 inome households they want to get a pie 00:07:34.560 --> 00:07:38.639 you know that growth of Indian economy 00:07:36.400 --> 00:07:41.919 and they are investing in equities the 00:07:38.639 --> 00:07:44.800 SSP SIP was a wonderful model uh you 00:07:41.919 --> 00:07:48.639 know with the financial inclusiveness so 00:07:44.800 --> 00:07:50.319 I think India is um firing on all you 00:07:48.639 --> 00:07:52.240 know 00:07:50.319 --> 00:07:54.560 in with regard to the 00:07:52.240 --> 00:07:56.800 >> I'm I'm going to have to ask you to stay 00:07:54.560 --> 00:07:58.800 on because we need to address the rupee 00:07:56.800 --> 00:08:00.319 right now and you know I'm going to come 00:07:58.800 --> 00:08:04.400 back and actually get your view on this 00:08:00.319 --> 00:08:05.919 as well from you uh Purju And you know 00:08:04.400 --> 00:08:07.599 since since we have you while we're 00:08:05.919 --> 00:08:09.599 talking about the context of the rupee 00:08:07.599 --> 00:08:12.639 are factors like this a dampener for 00:08:09.599 --> 00:08:14.160 equity investors 00:08:12.639 --> 00:08:15.840 >> uh you talking I did not hear the 00:08:14.160 --> 00:08:19.280 interview it's about rupee 00:08:15.840 --> 00:08:21.599 >> yes yes rupee at new record low of 8985 00:08:19.280 --> 00:08:23.840 against the USD 00:08:21.599 --> 00:08:24.479 >> uh I don't think it will be a big uh you 00:08:23.840 --> 00:08:26.560 know uh 00:08:24.479 --> 00:08:27.520 >> it's not a negative it's not a negative 00:08:26.560 --> 00:08:29.199 for 00:08:27.520 --> 00:08:30.720 >> I don't think this has been happening 00:08:29.199 --> 00:08:33.919 all the last many decades 00:08:30.720 --> 00:08:35.919 >> yeah but 90 we're at 90 Now for Inju 00:08:33.919 --> 00:08:38.800 >> yeah I remember when it was 4 rupees you 00:08:35.919 --> 00:08:41.519 know so that so it has been moving all 00:08:38.800 --> 00:08:43.919 the way up so this I'm not an expert to 00:08:41.519 --> 00:08:45.600 be frank about the forex or how the 00:08:43.919 --> 00:08:47.519 >> no but you think you think for equity 00:08:45.600 --> 00:08:50.320 markets it doesn't make a difference 00:08:47.519 --> 00:08:53.839 >> I I don't think now our our challenges 00:08:50.320 --> 00:08:56.640 or the good positives are much uh bigger 00:08:53.839 --> 00:08:59.440 and very different uh you know all of us 00:08:56.640 --> 00:09:02.240 know that relative valuation of uh India 00:08:59.440 --> 00:09:04.880 today is high but in because of the 00:09:02.240 --> 00:09:07.200 correct of the last one year or more uh 00:09:04.880 --> 00:09:09.760 of the broader market. So it has become 00:09:07.200 --> 00:09:12.160 reasonable today mostly. So a lot of 00:09:09.760 --> 00:09:15.839 stocks many of them you know hundreds of 00:09:12.160 --> 00:09:19.600 stocks are at 30 40 some of them 50% 00:09:15.839 --> 00:09:22.320 below their one year high earlier high 00:09:19.600 --> 00:09:24.480 so this gives an opportunity for you 00:09:22.320 --> 00:09:26.800 know very selective stock picking it's 00:09:24.480 --> 00:09:29.680 again I am telling this is India is 00:09:26.800 --> 00:09:32.959 again a heaven for the you know that 00:09:29.680 --> 00:09:35.040 cherry picking uh style. So there is no 00:09:32.959 --> 00:09:38.000 doubt that stock picking is going to do 00:09:35.040 --> 00:09:38.720 very well in 2026. It will be bouncing 00:09:38.000 --> 00:09:40.480 back. Got it. 00:09:38.720 --> 00:09:43.120 >> A lot of worthy stocks are going to 00:09:40.480 --> 00:09:44.640 bounce back. Some of them may go 50% 00:09:43.120 --> 00:09:47.200 higher or some of them may double in the 00:09:44.640 --> 00:09:50.720 next one year. But I don't think index 00:09:47.200 --> 00:09:52.880 nifty can go more than 5 10% in 2026. 00:09:50.720 --> 00:09:55.040 Mhm. So purinju I've just walked in and 00:09:52.880 --> 00:09:57.680 I just want to know because the peg of 00:09:55.040 --> 00:09:59.760 our next piece is that as to how's the 00:09:57.680 --> 00:10:01.600 jo I'm presuming from your answer that 00:09:59.760 --> 00:10:04.000 the josh is very high in in your in you 00:10:01.600 --> 00:10:08.000 right now for Indian markets. 00:10:04.000 --> 00:10:10.160 >> Yes n uh it has see it has been reducing 00:10:08.000 --> 00:10:12.640 because of the valuation we have to all 00:10:10.160 --> 00:10:14.320 agree with that. So a lot of people have 00:10:12.640 --> 00:10:16.959 started investing abroad now in the 00:10:14.320 --> 00:10:19.600 global companies thanks to gift city and 00:10:16.959 --> 00:10:21.200 you know that ecosystem allowing even 00:10:19.600 --> 00:10:23.279 small investors who want to take an 00:10:21.200 --> 00:10:25.920 exposure. If you feel the valuation in 00:10:23.279 --> 00:10:27.360 India is very high or unsustainable, 00:10:25.920 --> 00:10:31.519 there is an option today for the Indian 00:10:27.360 --> 00:10:33.839 investors. Uh but I feel uh the Indian 00:10:31.519 --> 00:10:36.320 stocks are still very hot and it will 00:10:33.839 --> 00:10:38.079 continue to be at the same time you know 00:10:36.320 --> 00:10:39.760 people who do momentum trading and you 00:10:38.079 --> 00:10:44.160 know new investors should be worried 00:10:39.760 --> 00:10:46.320 about the 50 60 100 200 PU stocks only 00:10:44.160 --> 00:10:48.640 10% of them will deliver going forward. 00:10:46.320 --> 00:10:51.839 the remaining 90% make have severe 00:10:48.640 --> 00:10:54.480 correction or there can be long-term 00:10:51.839 --> 00:10:56.959 time wise correction time correction so 00:10:54.480 --> 00:10:59.360 people should not just take I was just 00:10:56.959 --> 00:11:02.560 listening to Rajifer PPFS was talking 00:10:59.360 --> 00:11:04.079 about uh you know uh the boiling frog 00:11:02.560 --> 00:11:06.720 syndrome 00:11:04.079 --> 00:11:10.160 something trading at 2530 and they go on 00:11:06.720 --> 00:11:13.920 being comfortable go to 30 30 40 and 50 00:11:10.160 --> 00:11:14.720 60p people don't you know realize uh 00:11:13.920 --> 00:11:15.279 what is it 00:11:14.720 --> 00:11:17.279 >> that's true 00:11:15.279 --> 00:11:20.079 >> so invest They should be cautious and 00:11:17.279 --> 00:11:21.360 conservative even even after this last 00:11:20.079 --> 00:11:22.160 one-year correction in the broader 00:11:21.360 --> 00:11:24.000 market. 00:11:22.160 --> 00:11:26.240 >> Makes sense. Okay. Well, that's a 00:11:24.000 --> 00:11:28.079 constructive pinguad but cautioning at 00:11:26.240 --> 00:11:29.360 the right notes as well. And Purinju 00:11:28.079 --> 00:11:31.040 thank you so much for taking the time 00:11:29.360 --> 00:11:32.959 out and being with us today. On that 00:11:31.040 --> 00:11:35.680 note, really appreciate your time. 00:11:32.959 --> 00:11:38.000 >> Yeah, thank you Nage uh and Alex the 00:11:35.680 --> 00:11:42.279 team. Uh wonderful talking to you guys 00:11:38.000 --> 00:11:42.279 as always. As always, put in 00:11:44.133 --> 00:11:46.153 >> [music]